Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.314383 0.355485 0.402075 0.459246 0.528134 0.609274 7.132936e-01
2025-02-02 0.270777 0.330192 0.405173 0.509022 0.652969 0.851712 1.159035e+00
2025-02-09 0.237598 0.305449 0.397946 0.538400 0.756455 1.102239 1.742078e+00
2025-02-16 0.212453 0.284177 0.387918 0.557480 0.847096 1.367224 2.515285e+00
2025-02-23 0.189739 0.261429 0.369889 0.557707 0.904599 1.598523 3.407465e+00
2025-03-02 0.165204 0.232011 0.336088 0.523409 0.888547 1.678044 4.019666e+00
2025-03-09 0.149577 0.214048 0.317451 0.510975 0.909966 1.848348 5.080099e+00
2025-03-16 0.137246 0.199702 0.302516 0.501923 0.935205 2.041251 6.497545e+00
2025-03-23 0.129508 0.191826 0.297331 0.510123 1.000683 2.379677 9.175402e+00
2025-03-30 0.118338 0.177092 0.278202 0.486900 0.985559 2.474808 1.089452e+01
2025-04-06 0.109152 0.164903 0.262311 0.467784 0.975810 2.586036 1.310512e+01
2025-04-13 0.101252 0.154276 0.248193 0.450257 0.965901 2.695382 1.578813e+01
2025-04-20 0.099187 0.153973 0.253977 0.478884 1.096049 3.467661 3.036144e+01
2025-04-27 0.099252 0.157534 0.267856 0.529924 1.319429 4.984262 9.131740e+01
2025-05-04 0.096979 0.156575 0.272613 0.560528 1.497687 6.657498 3.274231e+02
2025-05-11 0.093890 0.153759 0.273127 0.580578 1.652555 8.608013 2.172388e+03
2025-05-18 0.089500 0.148042 0.266739 0.580791 1.732926 10.249207 6.522130e+04
2025-05-25 0.082806 0.137343 0.248434 0.544554 1.646563 10.109211 1.532119e+06
2025-06-01 0.078371 0.130804 0.238740 0.531430 1.657643 11.137487 NaN
2025-06-08 0.074569 0.125255 0.230733 0.521880 1.682171 12.487025 NaN
2025-06-15 0.072289 0.122583 0.228952 0.530530 1.799218 15.744442 NaN
2025-06-22 0.068076 0.115731 0.216957 0.506039 1.740371 15.973830 NaN
2025-06-29 0.064429 0.109843 0.206783 0.485897 1.698019 16.479239 NaN